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Tech predictions & odds

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Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?
Tech·AI

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

82%

Up

$25.6K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which company has best AI model end of July?
Tech·AI

Which company has best AI model end of July?

85%

Anthropic

$5M Vol.

$122K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Largest Company end of July?
Tech·AI

Largest Company end of July?

79%

NVIDIA

$962K Vol.

$100K today

$451K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

GPT-5.6 released by...?
Tech·AI

GPT-5.6 released by...?

99%

July 31

$3M Vol.

$271K today

$122K Liq.

70

Ends in 24 days

GPT-5.6 released on...?
Tech·AI

GPT-5.6 released on...?

65%

July 9

$611K Vol.

$131K today

$212K Liq.

23

Ends in 25 days

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Tech·AI

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

91%

↑$1.25T

$2M Vol.

$66.8K today

$374K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Largest Company end of December 2026?
Tech·AI

Largest Company end of December 2026?

62%

NVIDIA

$4M Vol.

$839K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Tech·AI

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

64%

Anthropic

$223K Vol.

$614K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?
Tech·AI

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?

100%

↑ $1.1T

$511K Vol.

$207K Liq.

Next GPT Model: Text Arena Debut?
Tech·AI

Next GPT Model: Text Arena Debut?

94%

1450+

$111K Vol.

$84.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Tech·AI

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

88%

SpaceX

$5M Vol.

$595K Liq.

17

Ends in 6 months

Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Tech·Big Tech

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

97%

Elon Musk

$2M Vol.

$225K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Which company has second best AI model end of July?
Tech·AI

Which company has second best AI model end of July?

91%

Anthropic

$47.6K Vol.

$125K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Best Chinese AI Company end of July?
Tech·AI

Best Chinese AI Company end of July?

96%

Alibaba

$118K Vol.

$105K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Which company has #1 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)
Tech·AI

Which company has #1 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)

87%

Anthropic

$72.9K Vol.

$142K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Which company has the best Math AI model end of July?
Tech·AI

Which company has the best Math AI model end of July?

62%

Anthropic

$71.3K Vol.

$126K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
Tech·AI

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

36%

1510

$78.6K Vol.

$39.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

2nd Largest Company end of July?
Tech·AI

2nd Largest Company end of July?

46%

Alphabet

$119K Vol.

$142K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
Tech·AI

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

46%

1560

$115K Vol.

$31.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by June 30?
Tech·AI

Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by June 30?

100%

↑$155B

$62.0K Vol.

$99.9K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Tech.

Polymarket currently hosts 203 active markets for Tech that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $23.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which company has best AI model end of July?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which company has best AI model end of July?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 85% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Tech predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.