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Jul 7, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?

Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?

98%
94%
2
icon for Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?

91%
89%
3
icon for Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

91%
69%
4
icon for Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

100%
54%
5
icon for Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

14%
52%
6
icon for Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

74%
40%
7
icon for Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?

Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?

97%
26%
8
icon for Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

87%
23%
9
icon for Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?

36%
19%
10
icon for Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?

Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?

37%
19%
11
icon for Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

48%
14%
12
icon for Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?

81%
14%
13
icon for Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

39%
13%
14
icon for Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

23%
13%
15
icon for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

35%
12%
16
icon for Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

49%
11%
17
icon for Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

70%
11%
18
icon for Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

48%
10%
19
icon for Will Efraim Filho win the Governor of Paraíba election?

Will Efraim Filho win the Governor of Paraíba election?

25%
10%
20
icon for Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

34%
9%
21
icon for Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

10%
8%
22
icon for Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

44%
8%
23
icon for Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

46%
8%
24
icon for Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?

25%
7%
25
icon for Will Russia enter Khatnie by July 31, 2026?

Will Russia enter Khatnie by July 31, 2026?

5%
6%